Summary Critique MoH 2024 & BORA Analysis
| MoH/BORA |
Study |
MoH Summary |
Our Summary |
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| 1 MoH Evidence Review | Do 2023 | – |
This was conducted by researchers at Adelaide and Queensland universities, which were linked in 2003 in promoting water fluoridation (Singh, 2003). The researchers are dental researchers, not experts in neurodevelopmental research. One of them is the infamous John Spencer. This study makes claims that are not supported by the evidence presented, and unsupported claims. The study clearly stretches the evidence to support and prove a This study has significant limitations, some acknowledged by the authors. The study divides the study sample
These and unknowns limit the confidence of the studies claim of “consistent evidence that childhood exposure to fluoride does not have effects on cognitive The statistical reliability of a study is determined by the smallest cohort. This study did not have sufficient statistical power to detect harm with its small control sample In contrast to the NTP-reviewed studies, this study did not measure individual-level total fluoride exposure or its best proxy, urine fluoride concentration. This study also did not measure prenatal fluoride exposure, a life stage sensitive to
Do’s exposure measure of dental fluorosis may not provide a sufficiently precise proxy of true F exposure, and of relevant F exposure. People vary greatly in their susceptibility to dental fluorosis. The study’s analyses of IQ and dental fluorosis did not account for factors affecting dental fluorosis risk, including total intake, exposure timing, genetic variation, Also, they only measured fluorosis on the top front two incisors. But even these two teeth can develop fluorosis from exposures over a fairly wide age range, so they may not be a reliable proxy for exposure during a fairly narrow age window. If susceptibility to IQ loss is heightened during a narrow age window, then Fluorosis may not correspond to that age window and be a relatively poor proxy for F intake at the susceptible time period. Several F-IQ studies have used both Fluorosis and other measures of F exposure, and several of them have found that the association with IQ is weaker with Fluorosis than with things like water F or urine F. Dental fluorosis, on the face of it, seems like an appealing measure of F exposure that could be relevant to developmental neurotoxicity, including IQ. It tends to reflect total F intake and it can reflect somewhat narrow age ranges, depending on how the Fluorosis is measured and on which teeth. But in reality, there seems to be a fair amount of variability in Fluorosis for any given F intake and timing of F intake. This variability is equivalent to exposure measurement error, and is probably non-differential in most situations. Non-differential exposure measurement error will always tend to produce bias toward the null. |
| 2 | Use of MIREC database |
The evidence brief concludes: The use of the MIREC dataset for multiple analyses in multiple subgroups raises concerns |
There is no evidence to support any of the criticism. MIREC controlled for alcohol, for example. How can a population of Canadians not be relevant to comparable Western countries like NZ? Moreover, many of the reviews covered found evidence of harm. Yet the Evidence Review says it By comparison, The U.S. National Toxicology Report ranked studies of fluoride’s developmental neurotoxicity and reported 18 of 19 high quality human studies up to May 1, |
| MoH Evidence Review | Page 12 | Two systematic reviews investigated ADHD as an outcome (Fiore et al., 2023; Taher et al., 2024) and found no association with fluoride levels in drinking water. |
Taher et al listed Riddell and Bashash as the two studies that reviewed ADHD but both of these found a positive association. Taher’s conclusion was that there is not enough evidence to say either way. Fiore et al concluded that current evidence may show fluoride has a neurotoxic effect but the studies were not strong enough to reliably conclude fluoride is associated with ADHD. The reviews, therefore, did not find NO association, they just did not find strong enough evidence for a reliable conclusion. |
| MoH Evidence Review | Page 12 | Five systematic reviews provided evidence relating to IQ as an outcome. (Gopu et al., 2022; Kumar et al., 2023; Miranda et al., 2021; Taher et al., 2024; Veneri et al., 2023) Three of those concluded there was no association between lower IQ and fluoride in drinking water at levels comparable to that used in Aotearoa New Zealand for CWF. (Gopu et al., 2022; Kumar et al., 2023; Miranda et al., 2021) The other two reviews reported a negative association between water fluoride concentration and IQ. (Taher et al., 2024; Veneri et al., 2023) |
Of the three reviews cited by MoH as having no association with fluoridated water, one did find an association and one was fraudulent. Therefore only four of the five reviews are relevant and out of those, three did find an association with levels comparable to fluoridation and the other one found an association at higher levels. Gopu et al did find evidence of an association between fluoride in drinking water comparable to that used in NZ (see below). Taher et al found association between fluoride and reduced IQ. Veneri et al found a consistent indication of a negative association between fluoride exposure and children’s intelligence, occurring from low fluoride concentrations when exposure was assessed through a biomarker (urinary fluoride), while some evidence of a threshold around 1 mg/L emerged from the pooled analysis based on drinking water fluoride. |
| MoH Evidence Review | Gopu et al | Gopu et al found 25 out of 31 studies found lower IQ between exposure to fluoridated water at > 2 mg/L compared to < 2 mg/L. They also reported “Only 1 of 5 studies graded as excellent quality showed a negative association between fluoride exposure and cognitive outcomes, whereas 30 of 34 poor and fair quality studies reported a negative association”. However, the 5 excellent quality studies were Cui, Xu, Bashash, Barberio and Green. Cui – Urine fluoride was inversely associated with IQ. Xu – Prenatal and childhood excessive fluoride exposures may impair the intelligence development of school children. Bashash – found an increase in maternal urine fluoride of 0.5mg/L predicted 3.15 and 2.50 lower offspring IQ scores. Barberio – did not look at IQ per se, but looked for learning disabilities. Concluded “there did not appear to be a robust association between fluoride exposure and parental- or self-reported diagnosis of a learning disability”. Green – maternal exposure to higher levels of fluoride during pregnancy was associated with lower IQ scores in children aged 3 to 4 years. |
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